This page is the public-facing explanation of the live RFS-X contract. It describes how the current rebuild presents the system honestly, without claiming backend metrics or predictive certainty that do not actually exist in the current stack.
RFS-X evaluates system susceptibility and constraint geometry. It does not forecast specific events.
RFS-X projects how constraints are expected to evolve over the next 24, 48, and 72 hours using the current field state plus known incoming forcing already visible to the system. These windows describe what conditions are primed for, not what will happen. Confidence decreases with horizon, and every forward projection is currently labeled Experimental.
The CME Earth-impact Probability Score estimates the likelihood and potential severity of meaningful Earth-directed CME impact from what is already detected in the system: CME catalog context, current solar wind conditions, forecast geomagnetic indices, flare activity, and thermosphere preconditioning. It does not predict whether a CME will erupt.
The Cosmic Coupling Index measures how strongly multiple forcing domains are coupled right now. It combines particle context, electromagnetic activity, field geometry, and a research-weighted gravitational term. Values above 1.0 indicate enhanced coupling consistent with stronger geomagnetic response potential.
Position guidance translates the current state and forward windows into sector-specific operational context for launch and satellite operations, grid and aviation infrastructure, and research measurement quality. It is rule-based and situational. It is not an operational directive.